新疆石油地质 ›› 2026, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (4): 459-465.doi: 10.7657/XJPG20260409

• 油藏工程 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于集合卡尔曼滤波的优势水流通道识别及动态定量表征技术

田津杰1,2,3(), 王成胜1,2,3, 陈维余1,2,3, 胡雪2,3, 尹彦君1,2,3, 王锦林1,2,3, 陈士佳1,2,3, 方月月2,3, 张艳辉1,2,3   

  1. 1 海洋油气高效开发全国重点实验室北京 102209
    2 海油发展提高采收率重点实验室天津 300452
    3 中海油能源发展股份有限公司 工程技术分公司天津 300452
  • 收稿日期:2025-03-04 修回日期:2025-07-09 接受日期:2025-07-21 出版日期:2026-08-01 发布日期:2026-07-30
  • 作者简介:田津杰(1984-),女,河北唐山人,高级工程师,海上油田提高采收率技术,(Tel)18602679580(Email)tianjj3@cnooc.com.cn
  • 基金资助:
    中海油能源发展股份有限公司重大科技专项(HFKJ-ZD-GJ-2024-02-02)

A Technique for Identifying and Quantitatively Characterizing Dominant Flow Channels Based On Ensemble Kalman Filter

TIAN Jinjie1,2,3(), WANG Chengsheng1,2,3, CHEN Weiyu1,2,3, HU Xue2,3, YIN Yanjun1,2,3, WANG Jinlin1,2,3, CHEN Shijia1,2,3, FANG Yueyue2,3, ZHANG Yanhui1,2,3   

  1. 1 State Key Laboratory of Offshore Oil and Gas Exploitation, Beijing 102209, China
    2 CNOOC Energy Technology & Services Limited Key Laboratory of Enhanced Oil Recovery, Tianjin 300452, China
    3 CNOOC EnerTech-Drilling & Production Co., Tianjin 300452, China
  • Received:2025-03-04 Revised:2025-07-09 Accepted:2025-07-21 Published:2026-08-01 Online:2026-07-30

摘要:

优势水流通道识别是油田开发的重要环节,传统的井间优势水流通道研究所需数据获取难度大,操作相对复杂且成本高,而常规的数值模拟方法需要以网格为基础建立复杂的地质模型,数据加载量大且计算周期较长。为了快速识别优势水流通道,以电容电阻模型为基础建立井间连通关系反演模型,通过连通系数和时间常数构建注采数据的传递关系。以集合卡尔曼滤波作为优化算法,对生产数据进行自动历史拟合,实现井间连通关系的定量表征。通过水电相似原理、分流量方程和相渗曲线,计算井间平均渗透率和井点含油饱和度,绘制含油饱和度场,表征油田的动态生产过程。通过K-means算法制定优势水流通道划分标准,对连通系数、产量等数据进行多维聚类分析,实现优势水流通道的智能识别,最后将模型应用到实际油藏中指导开发生产。考虑到数据和模型的噪声影响,在模型训练时间内以数据同化的方式同时更新多组参数,将平均值作为最优结果,解决了多解性问题。结果表明,结合电容电阻模型和集合卡尔曼滤波方法的优势水流通道识别模型不仅能准确揭示优势水流通道的分布情况,还可降低油藏参数反演的不确定性,在实际油藏的应用中,电容电阻模型反演和数值模拟得到的含油饱和度场基本相同。数据更新和参数收敛效果显著,得到的连通系数与示踪剂结果吻合度达83%,证明本方法对油藏注水开发和调剖选井决策具有重要意义。

关键词: 油田开发, 水驱, 优势水流通道, 动态定量表征, 集合卡尔曼滤波, 电容电阻模型

Abstract:

Identification of dominant flow channels is a critical step in oilfield development. Conventional studies on interwell dominant flow channels require data that are difficult to acquire, in addition to complex operations and high costs. Moreover, conventional numerical simulation methods employ grid-based complex geological models which feature burdensome data loading and long computation cycle. To quickly identify dominant flow channels, an interwell connectivity inversion model was established based on a capacitance resistance model for production (CRMP), and the injection-production data transmission relationship was constructed using connectivity coefficient and time constant. The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) was used as an optimization algorithm for automatic history match of production data, enabling quantitative characterization of interwell connectivity. The average permeability between wells and oil saturation at well points were calculated using the principle of hydroelectric similarity principle, fractional flow equation, and relative permeability curve. An oil saturation field map was plotted to characterize the dynamic production process of oilfield. The standard for dividing dominant flow channels was developed using the K-means algorithm, and multidimensional clustering analysis was conducted on connectivity coefficient and production data to achieve intelligent identification of dominant flow channels. Finally, the proposed model was applied to actual oil reservoirs. In this application, the noise effects of data and the model were considered, and multiple sets of parameters were updated simultaneously through data assimilation during the model training. The average value was taken as the optimal solution, thereby avoiding the ambiguity in results. The results indicate that the CRMP- and EnKF-based model accurately delineates the spatial distribution of dominant flow channels, and also reduces the uncertainty of reservoir parameter inversion. Actual reservoir applications demonstrate basically identical oil saturation fields inverted by CRMP and obtained by numerical simulation. The effects of data update and parameter convergence are significant, and the obtained connectivity coefficient agrees well with the tracer results, reaching 83%. The findings prove that the proposed technique is of great significance for decision-making in future waterflooding, profile control and well selection in oil reservoirs.

Key words: oilfield development, waterflooding, dominant flow channel, dynamic and quantitative characterization, ensemble Kalman filter, capacitance resistance model

中图分类号: