新疆石油地质

新疆石油地质 ›› 2008, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (4): 532-534.

• 讨论与争鸣 • 上一篇    下一篇

对质疑Wang-Li 产量数学模型一文的解析(为庆祝新疆油田勘探开发研究院成立50周年而作)

王俊魁   

  1. 中国石油大庆油田有限责任公司勘探开发研究院, 黑龙江大庆163712
  • 收稿日期:2007-06-29 发布日期:2020-10-09
  • 作者简介:王俊魁(1941-), 男, 黑龙江哈尔滨人, 高级工程师, 油气田开发,(Tel)0459-5098676.

Re-Discussion on A Discussion About A New Model for Forecasting Production of Oil and Gas Fields

WANG Jun-kui   

  1. Research Institute of Exploration and Development, Daqing Oilfield Company Ltd., PetroChina, Daqing, Heilongjiang 163712, China
  • Received:2007-06-29 Published:2020-10-09

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摘要： “质疑”一文认为Wang-Li模型存在数学原理的错误, 模型是不成立的, 应用实例结果也是不可信的。仔细地阅读了该文, 并未发现其中有否定Wang-Li模型实质性的理由与论据。针对该文提出的3个问题, 对模型结构进行了深入理论分析与应用实践检验, 进一步证明了Wang-Li模型的数学原理是正确的, 结构是严谨的; 当模型积分下限t=0时, Np0不为零; 常数项C为大于-1的数值时, 也不会出现难以置信的结果。

关键词: 模型, 产量, 可采储量, 预测

Abstract: The paper A Discussion about A New Model for Forecasting Production of Oil and Gas Fields ("A Discussion" for short) written by Xu Yi and Du Ying presented that some errors in math principle exist in Wang-Li's model for production forecast, resulting in the groundless model and the unreliable case-study results. However, "A Discussion" had not proposed the reasons and arguments for negating the Wang-Li's model except for three questions in it. This paper makes in-depth theoretical analysis and applied verification of this model structure, and further indicates that the math principle for the Wang-Li's model is correct, its structure is also precise. When the integral limit of the model t=0, Np0≠0; when the constant C>-1, the incredible results do not appear at all.

Key words: model, production rate, recoverable reserve, prediction, forecast

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