Using Normal Probability Model to Forecast Performance of Water Cut in Water flood Oilfield

Xinjiang Petroleum Geology ›› 2007, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (5): 609-611.

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Using Normal Probability Model to Forecast Performance of Water Cut in Water flood Oilfield

SHEN Nan^1,2, DU Jun-she², WANG Guo-xian³, FU Yu-fang³, ZOU Min³, QIAO Yue-hua², CAI Jun³

1. Institute of Geology and Geophysics, CAS, Beijing 100029, China;
2. Cainan Oilfield District, Xinjiang Oilfield Company, PetroChina, Fukang, Xinjiang 831511, China;
3. Institute of Exploration and Development, Zhundong Production Plant, Xinjiang Oilfield Company, PetroChina, Fukang, Xinjiang 831511, China

Received:2006-11-06 Revised:2007-01-16 Online:2007-10-01 Published:2020-08-03

Abstract

Abstract: Using normal probability model is more simple and efficient to determine performance and characteristic parameter of waterflood oilfield, so it is feasible and practicable to forecast water cut and oil recovery of waterfood oilfield and evaluate its development measures. The comparison and application show that the normal probability model can be applied to forecasting the performance of water cut when the oilfield enters into medium water cut stage for either S-type, convex-type or concave-type curves.

Key words: Water cut, recovery percent, prediction, normal probability, model

CLC Number:

TE331

SHEN Nan, DU Jun-she, WANG Guo-xian, FU Yu-fang, ZOU Min, QIAO Yue-hua, CAI Jun. Using Normal Probability Model to Forecast Performance of Water Cut in Water flood Oilfield[J]. Xinjiang Petroleum Geology, 2007, 28(5): 609-611.

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Using Normal Probability Model to Forecast Performance of Water Cut in Water flood Oilfield

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