›› 2019, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (5): 1-1.doi: 10.7657/XJPG20190517

• 论文 •    

碎屑岩油藏开发中隔夹层确定性建模与随机建模对比

练章贵1,李君1 ,王晓2 ,王开宇1,邵光强1 ,张曙振1   

  1. (1.中国石油 塔里木油田分公司 勘探开发研究院,新疆 库尔勒 841000;2.斯伦贝谢中国分公司,北京 100015)
  • 出版日期:2019-10-01 发布日期:1905-07-19

Comparison of Deterministic Modeling and Stochastic Modeling for Interlayers in Clastic Reservoir Development

LIAN Zhanggui1, LI Jun1, WANG Xiao2, WANG Kaiyu1, SHAO Guangqiang1, ZHANG Shuzhen1   

  1. (1.Research Institute of Exploration and Development, Tarim Oilfield Company, PetroChina, Korla, Xinjiang 841000, China; 2.Schlumberger China, Beijing 100015, China)
  • Online:2019-10-01 Published:1905-07-19

摘要: 碎屑岩油藏传统的隔夹层建模主要是简单地描述隔夹层,缺乏不同隔夹层建模方法对剩余油分布的系统性认识。设计4口虚拟井,分别建立层间和层内隔夹层随机模型和确定性模型,对不同的模型进行天然能量、注水和注气开发的油藏数值模拟,扩大面积、增加井数建立相应的模型进行对比。结果表明:随机建模方法得到的模拟结果非均质性强,不确定性大,而确定性建模方法得到的模拟结果与地质认识较相符;隔夹层建模方法的不同导致对油水运动、剩余油分布和注水注气控制作用认识的差异明显。在油田开发中后期,应充分利用地质认识建立确定性隔夹层模型和对应的相控储集层属性模型,准确量化剩余油分布,为井位部署提供依据。

Abstract: The conventional method of clastic reservoir interlayer modeling aims at simple interlayer description, which is lack of systematic understanding about remaining oil distribution. Four virtual wells are designed and stochastic and deterministic models are established for between-layer and within-layer interlayers. Reservoir numerical modeling regarding production modes of natural energy, water injection and gas injection is performed for the different models, the corresponding models are established by increasing area and expanding well numbers, respectively and comparisons of the models are carried out. The comparison results show that the result obtained from the stochastic modeling is of significant heterogeneity and large uncertainty, and the result obtained from the deterministic modeling is in accordance with the geological understanding. Different interlayer modeling methods lead to obvious differences in cognitions about the remaining oil distribution with the same production mode, and result in different controls on oil and water movement, remaining oil distribution and water injection and gas injection. During the middle-late stage of oilfield development, the geological understandings should be fully used to establish a deterministic interlayer model and a corresponding facies-controlled reservoir model, and to accurately quantify the remaining oil distribution, then providing basis for well allocation

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