稠油蒸汽吞吐产量预报方法

新疆石油地质 ›› 1994, Vol. 15 ›› Issue (1): 81-86.

稠油蒸汽吞吐产量预报方法

程仲干, 曲爱英, 王宽敬

辽河油田勘探开发研究院辽宁盘锦 124010

收稿日期:1993-07-10 出版日期:1994-03-01 发布日期:2020-08-06
作者简介:工程师石油地质勘探

METHOD OF FORECASTING PRODUCTION OF HEAVY OIL BY CYCLIC STEAM INJECTION PROCESS

Cheng Zhongping, Qu Aiying, Wang Kuanjing

Research Institute of Exploralion & Development, Liaohe Oilfield, Panjin, Liaoning 124010

Received:1993-07-10 Online:1994-03-01 Published:2020-08-06
About author:Engineer, Petroleum Geology Exploration.

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 针对稠油藏在蒸汽吞吐开采时,其产量呈周期性变化的特立,建立了自适应混合回归模型,用来估计蒸汽吞吐稠油藏的最优参数,拟合、预报稠油蒸汽吞吐产量应用该模型对辽河油田D66等区块进行了拟合和预报,获得了令人满意的结果。该方法对稠油热采长远规划、年度计划及开发方案的编制具有重要的作用。

关键词: 稠油藏, 产量预报, 混合回归模型, 趋势拟合, 波动分析

Abstract: Based on the characteristics of cyclic yield changes in production of a heavy oil reservoir by cyclic steam injection process, a self - adapting mixed regression model has been developed. This model is used to estimate the optimum parameters for heavy oil reservoir, fit and forecast yield by the process. Using it to fit and forecast the district D66 etc of Liaohe oil field, the satisfying results were obtained. The method possesses a guiding sinificance in drawing up a long - term plan of the heavy oil thermal recovery, annul plan and development program.

Key words: Heavy oil reservoir, Yield forecasting, Mixed regression model, Trend fitting, Wave analysis

程仲干, 曲爱英, 王宽敬. 稠油蒸汽吞吐产量预报方法[J]. 新疆石油地质, 1994, 15(1): 81-86.

Cheng Zhongping, Qu Aiying, Wang Kuanjing. METHOD OF FORECASTING PRODUCTION OF HEAVY OIL BY CYCLIC STEAM INJECTION PROCESS[J]. Xinjiang Petroleum Geology, 1994, 15(1): 81-86.