新疆石油地质

新疆石油地质 ›› 1995, Vol. 16 ›› Issue (3): 250-255.

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预测油气田产量和储量的 Weibull 模型（为纪念克拉玛依油田勘探开发40周年而作）

陈元千, 胡建国   

  1. 中国石油天然气总公司石油勘探开发科学研究院 北京 100083
  • 收稿日期:1995-06-13 出版日期:1995-09-01 发布日期:2021-01-15
  • 作者简介:陈元千 教授级高工 油气藏工程

WEIBULL MODEL FOR PREDICTING OUTPUT AND RESERVE IN AN OIL AND GAS FIELD

Chen Yuanqian, Hu Jianguo   

  1. Scientific Research Institute of Exploration and Developme，CN PC, Beijing 100083
  • Received:1995-06-13 Online:1995-09-01 Published:2021-01-15
  • About author:Chen Yuanqian, Profess of Engineering, Reserooir Engineerig

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摘要： 基于概率统计学中的 Weibull (威布尔）分布。提出了一个新的预测模型。该模型可用于预测油气囚的产量、累积产量、可采储量、储采比、最高年产量及其发生的时间。实际应用结果表明。该预测模型是卡分有效的。

关键词: 预测, 油气田, 产量, 可采储量, 模型

Abstract: Based on Weibull distribution in probability statistics, a new prediction model has been presented in this paper, which can be used to predict production rate, cu-mulative production rate, recoverable reserve, reserve-production ratio, maximum yearly production rate and its corresponding time. The actural result showed that Weibull model is very efficient for use.

Key words: Prediction serve, Oil and gas fields, yield, Recoverable reserves, Model