新疆石油地质

新疆石油地质 ›› 1998, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (4): 325-328.

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一种预测油气田产量及可采储量的新模型

朱圣举   

  1. 长庆石油勘探局勘探开发研究院 甘肃庆阳 745101
  • 收稿日期:1997-09-16 出版日期:1998-08-01 发布日期:2020-09-19
  • 作者简介:朱圣举：工程师 油藏工程

A NEW MODEL FOR PREDICTING PRODUCTION AND RECOVERABLE RESERVEOF OIL AND GAS FIELD

Zhu Shengju   

  1. Research Institute of Exploration and Development, Changqing Petroleum Exploration Bureau, Qingyang, Gansu 745101
  • Received:1997-09-16 Online:1998-08-01 Published:2020-09-19
  • About author:Zhu Shengju, Engineer, Reservoir Engineering

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摘要： 基于概率统计学中的Γ(x2)分布, 提出了一种新的预测模型。该模型可用于预测油气田的产量、可采储量、最高年产量及其发生的时间。实际应用结果表明, 该模型比较实用, 预测的各项指标是比较可靠的。

关键词: 油气田, 产量, 可采储量, 预测, 模型

Abstract: Based on Γ(x2)distribution in probability statistics, a new model was presented for predicting production, recoverable reserve, maximum annual production and the time when it will occur.Case study showed that this model is practical, and the prediction is quite reliable.

Key words: Oil and gas field, Production, Recoverable reserve, Prediction, Model