新疆石油地质

新疆石油地质 ›› 2007, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (3): 385-386.

• 讨论与争鸣 • 上一篇    下一篇

对《预测油气田产量的一种新模型》一文的质疑

须轶1, 杜莹2   

  1. 1.上海飞洲自动化系统有限公司, 上海 201203;
    2.大庆石油学院, 黑龙江 大庆 163000
  • 收稿日期:2006-11-17 修回日期:2006-12-17 出版日期:2007-06-01 发布日期:2020-07-31
  • 作者简介:须轶(1977-), 男, 上海人, 工程师, 应用电子技术,(Tel) 021-50804777(E-mail) fzauto@sh163.net.

A Discussion about A New Model for Forecasting Production of Oil and Gas Fields

XU Yi1, DU Ying2   

  1. 1. Shanghai Feizhou Automatic System Corp., Ltd., Shanghai 201203, China;
    2. Daqing Petroleum Institute, Daqing, Heilongjiang 163000, China
  • Received:2006-11-17 Revised:2006-12-17 Online:2007-06-01 Published:2020-07-31

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摘要： 产量预测是油藏工程研究的核心问题之一,而简单、实用、可靠的预测方法也一直是人们追求的目标。《预测油气田产量的一种新模型》一文提出了Wang-Li产量模型,又相继在专著中对此模型广为介绍。但研究表明,Wang-Li产量模型存在着数学原理错误,严格地讲是不能成立的,原文作者给出的应用实例结果也是不可信的。为使预测研究深入发展,将一些有针对性的看法整理成文,以期引起业内人士的关注。

关键词: 模型, 油气田, 可采储量, 预测, 参数

Abstract: Production Prediction is one of key problems for reservoir engineering research, and an easy, practical and reliable method for it becomes the seeking target. The Wang-Li's model for production forecast was proposed in paper A New Model for Forecasting Production of Oil and Gas Fields and successively introduced in his treatise. However, this study shows that it can not be established for errors in mathematic principle existed in this model, hence the given case study results are incredible. This paper presents some opinions for them for the purpose of correct development of such production forecast researches by further attentions and discussions.

Key words: model, oil-gas field, recoverable reserve, forecast, prediction, parameter

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