新疆石油地质

新疆石油地质 ›› 2008, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (5): 545-547.

• 油气勘探 •    下一篇

中国石化探区油气储量增长趋势

何宏   

  1. 中国石化勘探开发研究院，北京100083
  • 收稿日期:2007-12-26 发布日期:2020-10-19
  • 作者简介:何宏(1971-),女,陕西汉中人,高级工程师,油气资源评价,(Tel)010-82282441 (E-mail)hehong@pepris.com.

Oil-Gas Reserves Increasing Trend in Sinopec-Controlled Exploration Areas

HE Hong   

  1. Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development, Sinopec, Beijing 100083, China
  • Received:2007-12-26 Published:2020-10-19

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摘要： 基于中石化探区常规石油天然气历年新增探明储量数据和发现历程，结合“十一五”石油天然气储量目标与勘探计划部署，选用了逻辑斯蒂、龚帕兹及哈伯特3 种预测模型，预测了中石化探区未来25 年常规油气储量增长趋势。在目前勘探矿权区块没有大增或大减，勘探投入增长力度基本保持稳定的条件下，预计2006—2010 年中石化探区累积新增石油探明储量11.28×108 t，累积新增天然气探明储量7 100×108 m3；2011—2015 年石油为10.75×108 t，天然气为7 359×10m3；2016—2020 年石油为10.70×108 t，天然气为7 792×108 m3；2021—2025 年石油为9.08×108 t，天然气为6 422×108m3；2026—2030 年石油为6.81×108 t，天然气为4 495×108 m3. 表明了中石化探区油气勘探具有良好前景。

关键词: 石油, 天然气, 探明储量, 预测

Abstract: Based on the incremental proven oil-gas reserves every year and the relevant discovery history, along with the targets of "the Eleventh Five-Year Plan" and exploration deployment, the conventional oil-gas reserves increasing trend in 25 years to come is predicted using Logistic, Comperts and Hubbert methods. In the present conditions that Sinopec-controlled exploration areas do not change and exploration investment requirement remains the same on the whole, it is predicted that the newly incremental proven oil accumulative reserves will reach 11.28×108 t, newly incremental proven gas accumulative reserves will be 7 100×108 m3 during the period of 2006- 2010; 10.75×108 t to oil, 7 359×108 m3 to gas of 2011-2015; 10.70×108 t to oil, 7 792×108 m3 to gas of 2016-2020; 9.08×108 t to oil, 6 422× 108 m3 to gas of 2021-2025, and 6.81×108 t to oil, 4 495×108 m3 to gas of 2026-2030, all of which shows good potentials for oil-gas exploration in the future in Sinopec-controlled exploration areas.

Key words: oil, gas, proven reserves, prediction, forecast

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