新疆石油地质

新疆石油地质 ›› 2002, Vol. 23 ›› Issue (3): 231-232.

• 油藏工程 • 上一篇    下一篇

一种预测油田开发指标的多因素随机模型

孙继伟, 唐磊, 连军利, 赵玉欣, 庞长英   

  1. 中石化 河南油田分公司 石油勘探开发研究院,河南 南阳 473132
  • 收稿日期:2001-09-19 出版日期:2002-06-01 发布日期:2020-08-07
  • 作者简介:孙继伟（1974-）,男,河南武陟人,工程师,油田开发地质。联系电话:0377-3837473

A Multi-Factor Stochastic Model for Prediction of Oilfield Development Indexes

SUN Ji-wei, TANG Lei, LIAN Jun-li, ZHAO Yu-xin, PANG Chang-ying   

  • Received:2001-09-19 Online:2002-06-01 Published:2020-08-07
  • About author:SUN Ji-wei (1974-), Male, Engineer, Oilfield Development Geology, Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development, Henan Oilfield Company, Nanyang, Henan 473132, China

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摘要： 以油藏工程基本理论为基础,从油田产量递减的基本规律入手,提出了综合考虑各种影响开发指标因素的多因素随机模型,该模型克服了以往计算参数单一、对指标变化不敏感的缺点,实践证明,该模型应用效果较好,能够真正反映油田开发的实际情况。

关键词: 油田开发, 开发指标, 递减, 模型

Abstract: Based on reservoir engineering theory and basic oil field production decline pattern, this study presents a multi-factor stochastic model that takes all influential factors into account of development indexes. Using this model can overcome such pitfalls as singular calculation parameters and insensible to indexes alteration in previous prediction. It's proved that the model has been well applied into practice and can really reflect the status of oil field development.

Key words: oil field development, development index, decline, model

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