Forecast of Hydrocarbon Reserves and Production Growth Trend in Junggar Basin

Abstract

Abstract: The varied trends, growth regulation of hydrocarbon reserves and productions as well as their degrees of proven Resources in different stages of exploration in some basins at home and abroad are presented, based on which the reserves, production growth regulation and varied trend of Xinjiang oilfields for over 50 years are analyzed, and the predictions of them in Junggar basin in coming one hundred years are made by Weng's method that determines cycle of life of the nonrenewable mineral Resources and selected HCZ model and Weibull model. It is concluded that the hydrocarbon reserves and productivity of Junggar basin are at the ascending stage, which coincides with the development patterns of the oilfield.

Key words: Junggar basin, crude oil, natural gas, reserves, production, prediction, forecast

CLC Number:

TE313.8

DONG Wei-kai, JIN Tao, WANG Yu-tao, CAO Wei. Forecast of Hydrocarbon Reserves and Production Growth Trend in Junggar Basin[J]. Xinjiang Petroleum Geology, 2007, 28(5): 622-624.

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Forecast of Hydrocarbon Reserves and Production Growth Trend in Junggar Basin

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