新疆石油地质

新疆石油地质 ›› 2000, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (1): 62-64.

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贝塔旋回模型在油田产量及可采储量预测中的应用

李社文   

  1. 河南石油勘探局 南阳473132
  • 收稿日期:1999-06-15 出版日期:2000-01-01 发布日期:2021-01-15
  • 作者简介:李社文(1965-),男,工程师,管理工程专业。

Application of Beta Cyclical Model to Prediction of Production and Recoverable Reserves in Ninghai Oilfeld

Li Shewen   

  1. Engineer, Manage Engineering, Henan Petroleum Exploration Bureau, Nanyang, Henan 473132
  • Received:1999-06-15 Online:2000-01-01 Published:2021-01-15

摘要： 基于概率统计中的贝塔分布密度函数,经变换后可得到导出密度函数,据此建立了贝塔旋回模型,同时提出了求解模型参数的方法,最后应用该模型对宁海油田的产量与可采储量进行了预测,证明该模型适用于预测某些油田的产量和可采储量。

关键词: 模型, 预测, 油田, 产量, 可采储量

Abstract: Based on beta function of distribution density in probability statistics and derived density function by transformation, a beta cyclical model was developed and a method extracted for the model parameters was presented. By using this model, predictions of production and recoverable reserves in Ninghai oilfield were made. The results showed that the model is suitable for prediction of some other field's productions and recoverable reserves.

Key words: Model, Prediction, Oilfield, Production rate, Recoverable reserves