新疆石油地质

新疆石油地质 ›› 2001, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (1): 45-47.

• • 上一篇    下一篇

对中国石油未来潜在可采资源量的预测

陈元千   

  1. 中国石油天然气集团公司石油勘探开发科学研究院,北京 100083
  • 收稿日期:2000-06-21 出版日期:2001-02-01 发布日期:2020-08-13
  • 作者简介:陈元千（1933-）,男,河南兰考人,教授级高级工程师,油气田开发。

Forecast for Future Potential Recoverable Resource of China Petroleum

CHEN Yuanqian   

  • Received:2000-06-21 Online:2001-02-01 Published:2020-08-13
  • About author:CHEN Yuanqian (1933-), Male, Professor of Engineering, Oilfield Development, Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development, CNPC, Beijing 100083 China

PDF

199

摘要： 中国石油的总可采资 源量,应由己发现的可采资源量和未发现的可采资源量组成。后者可称之为未来潜在可采资源量。基于文献[1]提出的图解法原理,利用文献[2]所建立的威布尔(Weibull)预测模型,提出了预测中国石油的总可采资源量和未来潜在可采资源量的方法。通过我国资料的实际应用表明,提供的方法是有效的。我国石油总可采资源量和未来潜在可采资源量的预测结果,分别为100×108 t 和40.7×108 t.

关键词: 预测, 石油, 资源量

Abstract: Total petroleum recoverable resources of China consists of discovered recoverable resources and undiscovered recoverable resources. The latter may be called future potential recoverable resources. A method of forecasting total petroleum recoverable resources and future potential recoverable resources is proposed in this paper,based on graphical method of reference [1] and Weibull model of reference [2]. By applying practically with China's data, the method proposed in this paper is effective. The forecasting results of China's total petroleum recoverable resource and future potential recoverable resources are 100×108 t and 40.7×108 t, respectively.

Key words: Forecast, petroleum, resource

中图分类号: