新疆石油地质 ›› 2002, Vol. 23 ›› Issue (2): 160-162.

• 应用技术 • 上一篇    下一篇

油田开发指标的组合预测方法

陈志刚1, 舒福昌1, 贾黎2, 郑燕2, 李娴静1   

  1. 1.江汉石油学院,湖北荆州434102;
    2.荆州师范学院,湖北荆州434104
  • 收稿日期:2001-04-19 出版日期:2002-04-01 发布日期:2020-08-07
  • 作者简介:陈志刚(1977-),男,湖北天门人,研究方向为化学工程。联系电话:0716-8430167

A Combination Prediction Method for Development Indices

CHEN Zhi-gang, SHU Fu-chang, JIA Li, Zhen-Yan, LI Xian-jing   

  • Received:2001-04-19 Online:2002-04-01 Published:2020-08-07
  • About author:CHEN Zhi-gang (1977-),Male, Chemical Engineering, Jianghan Petroleum Institute, Jinzou, Hubei 434102, China

摘要: 在油藏工程中,广义翁氏预测模型、双对数型产量衰减曲线预测模型和水驱曲线模型都是比较重要的预测模型。然而,它们都有自身的局限性。现将这三种方法相结合,除详细说明求解方法外,还用组合预测的方法来校正预 测结果。该方法不仅可以预测水驱油气田的产量、产水量、最高年产量及其发生的时间,还可预测可采储量、含水率 和体积波及系数等开发指标。应用结果表明,它与其它模型相比,具有更高的预测能力和预测精度。

关键词: 预测, 模型, 产量, 油田, 水驱

Abstract: The generalized Weng's model, dual logarithm production decline curve model and water drive curve model are popular to use in reservoir engineering study. However, they have their own limitations. Integrated with these methods, this paper presented a combination prediction method to correct predictive results as well as providing explanation in, detail of their solutions. This method is not only. applied. to predict production, water production, the, top annual yield and related time in a hydrocarbon field by waterdrive process, but also to predict recoverable reserves, water cut and volumetric sweep efficiency. The result shows that it has much higher predictive power and precision compared with other models.

Key words: prediction, model, production, oilfield, water-drive

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